In every society, people are more familiar with their own society's strengths than with those of other societies.

Put another way, every people has things that they know, and which they are certain other groups do not know. If you say "How do you know that those (foreign) people lack this skill", the answer is some form of "I can tell just by looking at them".

If you learn the local bushman language in some remote place, they will try to explain their gift and how it is that others don't have it. In a developed country, the same. The difference being only that the "gift" that we have is far removed from nature and of subjective value (whether it is academics, economics, whatever).

When people from wealthy countries deal with people from poor countries in the business world it is very clear where the advantage is. We (wealthy countries) practically invented business. We make the rules and we know what we're doing.

Imagine if the major oil countries were run by Americans. We would come up with head spinning tricks to stay on top. The perception being that because those countries are not run by Americans they don't quite have the gift to out think us.

But there is a problem with that.

This article will present the case that a number of oil producing countries have been, and are, engaging in a complex business maneuver that is meant to draw western countries into a vulnerable position then hammer them. The set up and the tactics are not especially original, but it is our delusional arrogance and desperate optimism that prevents us from seeing.

Crucial to the argument is an open mind about the relationship between leaders of the Shia and Sunni sects. Any person who is genuinely interested in the subject should study recent history with an eye to looking for common cause between these two supposed enemies.

Item 1) Oil markets being tested. This story originated with Iranian state media. Saudi Arabia denied it and the price settled a bit, but some media showed photos of the explosion. A casual observer might assume the Saudis were taken completely by surprise. Spare capacity is also an important factor whose perception is crucial in the deception.

Item 2) Saudi comments about their preference for a lower oil price are silly. Americans would like to believe it but there are many problems, not least that it makes absolutely no sense. Complete manure, no matter how fast it is shoveled.


Item 3) Americans are largely blind to the mood in many countries, but particularly in many oil producing countries. The unspoken sentiment among most Americans is "We are first world and the best any other country will ever be is second world". That's the normal sentiment, since the beginning of recorded history, for the dominant power in the world. And it invariably is seen in retrospect as a factor that leads to ruin. The relevant point is not the specific American delusion (i.e., superiority) but the fact that there is a delusion that colors much American thinking. If we (Americans) really were superior there would not be a problem. But we are not and that delusion (it could be any delusion) is visible to everyone but us.




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